IGM-FTmid -September survey:
“This slice of the FTxIGM Survey of US Macroeconomists discusses the probability of the Fed elevating and sustaining the next rate of interest. It additionally examines the potential for a recession occurring prior to anticipated.
The modal response for the beginning of the US recession is 2023Q1-Q2. Solely 14% suppose a recession has already began or will begin by 2022Q4.
In distinction, the modal response for the Eurozone is {that a} recession begins by the tip of the 12 months.
